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UFC VEGAS 114 STRAWWEIGHT BOUT

PIERA RODRIGUEZ VS SAM HUGHES

UFC VEGAS 114 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 14, 2026
ORTHODOX
Piera Rodriguez

PIERA RODRIGUEZ

"LA FIERA"
RECORD10-2-0
AGE33
HEIGHT160 cm
REACH160 cm
ODDS1.74
FORM
L
L
W
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (5)
SUB (0)
DEC (5)
STRIKING
POWERFUL BASE
SLpM
3.10
STYLE
TECHNICAL STRIKER

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Aljamain Wilson WIN (DEC)
Rank: #9 Level: Elite Grappler
vs. Tai Thompson LOSS (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: Journeyman
vs. Dan Brown LOSS (DEC)
Rank: #14 Level: Knockout Artist
VS
ORTHODOX
Sam Hughes

SAM HUGHES

"SAMPAGE"
RECORD8-6-0
AGE33
HEIGHT165 cm
REACH163 cm
ODDS2.14
FORM
L
W
L
W
L
Victory Breakdown
KO (2)
SUB (2)
DEC (4)
VOLUME
ELITE OUTPUT
SLpM
4.10
STYLE
PRESSURE STRIKER

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Justin Brown WIN (SUB)
Rank: #12 Level: Veteran
vs. Cory Brown LOSS (DEC)
Rank: Unranked Level: High-Level Wrestler
vs. Marvin Green WIN (SUB)
Rank: #10 Level: Knockout Artist

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

A.I. Generated Attribute Comparison

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail betting volume in real-time across major sportsbooks.

TICKETS (Public) 62% ON RODRIGUEZ
38% (HUGHES)
MONEY (Sharps) 55% ON RODRIGUEZ
45% (HUGHES)
AGENT 22 ALERT: Market is relatively split, but professional money is leaning slightly towards the technical advantage of RODRIGUEZ.

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV expected value derivative markets for this matchup.

Fight Goes To Decision
Implied Prob: 75%
-200
EDGE: 5.2%
PREMIUM PLAY
Rodriguez by Decision
Implied Prob: 50%
+125
EDGE: 8.8%
Hughes Over 2.5 Rounds
Implied Prob: 70%
-180
EDGE: 3.1%

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing when each fighter hits their absolute peak finishing sequence probability.

RODRIGUEZ
PEAK THREAT
ROUND 1
Rodriguez's technical striking is sharpest early on.
VOLUME
ATTRITION
ROUND 2
Hughes looks to overwhelm with constant output.
HUGHES
PEAK CARDIO
ROUND 3
Sam's conditioning allows her to maintain pace.

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Striking Accuracy
RODRIGUEZ 45%
Advantage: RODRIGUEZ (Precision)
Fighter Chin
STABLE
Both fighters show elite durability.
Cardio Metrics
HUGHES ELITE
Sam never stops moving or firing.
Control Bias
RODRIGUEZ CLINCH
Rodriguez uses clinch to stall volume.

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

SYNDICATE MMA / VEGAS
Las Vegas, NV
  • Hometown Advantage: Rodriguez is training in the fight capital, acclimated to the Apex atmosphere.
  • Technical Refining: Working with John Wood to add more precision to her power-striking game.
  • CAMP DNA: Local Familiarity, Tactical Precision, Balanced Attack.
FORTIS MMA / TEXAS
Dallas, TX
  • The Volume Engine: Coach Sayif Saud has Hughes doubling down on her volume-based pressure.
  • Aggressive Drills: High-intensity sparring sessions to ensure she can maintain her 4.10 SLpM pace.
  • CAMP DNA: Relentless Pressure, High Output, Strategic Cardio.

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

PIERA RODRIGUEZ

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Rodriguez needs to time her entries and use her power to earn Hughes' respect. She shouldn't get into a volume war; instead, she should look to land the more impactful single shots.

SAM HUGHES

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Hughes must stay active and keep Rodriguez reactive. By maintaining a high output, she can prevent Rodriguez from settling into her rhythm and potentially steal rounds on activity.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: PIERA RODRIGUEZ

This is a classic 'Precision vs. Volume' matchup. While Sam Hughes will likely lead in total strikes thrown, Piera Rodriguez lands with more impact and technical soundness. Rodriguez's ability to mix in clinch work and potentially takedowns should give her the edge in a close decision. Expect a high-paced affair where Rodriguez's quality of work outshines Hughes' quantity.