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UFC VEGAS 114 HEAVYWEIGHT BOUT

VITOR PETRINO VS STEVEN ASPLUND

UFC VEGAS 114 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 14, 2026
ORTHODOX
Vitor Petrino

VITOR PETRINO

""
RECORD11-1-0
AGE27
HEIGHT188 cm
REACH197 cm
ODDS1.43
FORM
L
W
W
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (7)
SUB (1)
DEC (3)
STRENGTH
ELITE POWER
SLpM
2.95
STYLE
POWER STRIKER

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Curtis Hill WIN (SUB)
Rank: #13 Level: BJJ Specialist
vs. Jailton Smith LOSS (DEC)
Rank: #9 Level: Veteran
vs. Jiri Harris WIN (SUB)
Rank: #9 Level: Rising Star
VS
ORTHODOX
Steven Asplund

STEVEN ASPLUND

""
RECORD7-1-0
AGE31
HEIGHT188 cm
REACH191 cm
ODDS2.85
FORM
W
W
W
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (3)
SUB (2)
DEC (1)
GRAPPLING
PRESSURE
UNDEPENDABLE
PROSPECT GAP
STYLE
GROUND SPECIALIST

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Sergei Parker WIN (SUB)
Rank: #15 Level: Title Contender
vs. Tai Garcia WIN (SUB)
Rank: Unranked Level: BJJ Specialist
vs. Tom Mitchell WIN (DEC)
Rank: #12 Level: Title Contender

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

A.I. Generated Attribute Comparison

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail volume.

TICKETS (Public) 81% ON VITOR PETRINO
19% (ASPLUND)
MONEY (Sharps) 72% ON VITOR PETRINO
28% (ASPLUND)
AGENT 22 ALERT: Market consensus is heavy on Petrino. Little interest in the prospect upset here.

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV derivative markets.

Petrino by KO/TKO
Implied Prob: 52%
-110
EDGE: 6.2%
PREMIUM PLAY
Fight Finishes in Round 1
Implied Prob: 45%
+120
EDGE: 14.5%

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing peak finishing windows.

PETRINO
EXPLOSIVE BURST
ROUND 1
Maximum power and aggression coming from Petrino.
ASPLUND
LEVEL CHANGES
ROUND 2
Asplund's best chance to ground the Brazilian.
FATIGUE
ZONE
ROUND 3
Both men tested at 205 lbs. Space opens up.

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Chin Rating
PETRINO - ELITE
Has shown high durability at 205.
Petrino Delta
+48% POWER GAP
Brazil's prospect has significant physical impact edge.
Reach Advantage
77.5 INCH (PETRINO)
+2 inch reach for the favorite.
Gym Factor
CM SYSTEM (BRAZIL)
Petrino training at high intensity.

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

CM SYSTEM / BRAZIL
Curitiba, Brazil
  • Aggression Engine: Petrino focusing on high-impact striking and clinch dominance to overwhelm the wrestler.
  • Takedown Nullification: Intensive wrestling training to keep the fight standing where he has the massive power edge.
  • Finish Mentality: Looking to make a statement recovery after his first pro loss.
  • CAMP DNA: Brutal Power, High Pressure, Brazilian Grit.
SYNDICATE MMA / VEGAS
Las Vegas, NV
  • The Pahrump Protocol: **John Wood** has Asplund focusing on cage-entry and chain-wrestling to tire Petrino out.
  • Clinch Defense: Drilling the "dirty boxing" and frame management to avoid Petrino's heavy hands in close quarters.
  • Elite IQ: A tactical approach to neutralize the Brazilian's athleticism through superior positioning.
  • CAMP DNA: Strategic Grappling, Gym Intelligence, Vegas Local.

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

VITOR PETRINO

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Petrino needs to assert his physicality early. If he can stop the first two takedown attempts and land big counters, Asplund will crumble.

STEVEN ASPLUND

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Asplund must survive the first 5 minutes. His path to victory is a grind, making Petrino carry his weight and looking for a submission late.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: VITOR PETRINO

Vitor Petrino is one of the most physically imposing prospects in the light heavyweight division. While Steven Asplund is a live underdog with solid grappling credentials, Petrino's ability to explode and end the fight with a single exchange is the deciding factor. We expect Petrino to keep the fight standing and secure a violent knockout within the first two rounds.

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AGENT 22 INTEL

Advanced Artificial Intelligence & Tactical Simulator

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IMPLIED PROB: ...
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AGENT 22 RULING
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