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UFC 326 EARLY PRELIMS FLYWEIGHT BOUT

SU MUDAERJI VS JESUS AGUILAR

UFC 326 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 7, 2026
Su Mudaerji

SU MUDAERJI

"THE TIBETAN EAGLE"
RECORD18-7-0
AGE30
HEIGHT173 cm
REACH183 cm
ODDS1.50
FORM
L
L
L
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (13)
SUB (1)
DEC (4)
REACH ADV.
+21 cm
KNOCKOUTS
High Volume
STYLE
SANDA STRIKER

⚔ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Cory Collins LOSS (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: High-Level Wrestler
vs. Edson Brown LOSS (KO)
Rank: #12 Level: Rising Star
vs. David Campbell WIN (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: Elite Striker
VS
ORTHODOX
Jesus Aguilar

JESUS AGUILAR

"EL MATADOR"
RECORD12-3-0
AGE29
HEIGHT163 cm
REACH157 cm
ODDS2.65
FORM
W
W
W
L
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (1)
SUB (6)
DEC (5)
SUB AVG.
1.4
GRAPPLING
High Pressure
STYLE
BJJ / WRESTLER

⚔ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Dricus Collins WIN (DEC)
Rank: Unranked Level: High-Level Wrestler
vs. Josh Lee LOSS (DEC)
Rank: #7 Level: Elite Striker
vs. Israel Lewis WIN (DEC)
Rank: Unranked Level: Rising Star

TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

Agent 22's proprietary multi-dimensional style matchup visualization.

RED CORNER
BLUE CORNER

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Cage Geometry
30FT BIG OCTAGON
Advantage: MUDAERJI (+8in Reach)
Mudaerji Chin
RELIABLE
Durability hasn't been the issue
Aguilar Chin
STABLE
Grappling focus limits impact
Acclimation
TRAVEL RISK
Mudaerji: Long flight from Asia

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

ENBO FIGHT CLUB / TEAM ALPHA MALE
Chengdu, CHN / Sacramento, CA
  • The TAM Wrestling Polish: Under **Urijah Faber**, Su has been drilling "check-knee" interceptions—using a lead knee to punish Aguilar’s low-level entries while maintaining his 183cm reach bubble.
  • Sparring Matrix: Logged heavy rounds with **Song Yadong** and **Cody Garbrandt**, simulating the high-velocity scrambles and explosive transitions required to survive a specialist like Aguilar.
  • Sanda Precision 2.0: Returning to his roots in Chengdu to sharpen long-range "intercepting kicks" that serve as a perimeter defense against aggressive clinch hunters.
  • CAMP DNA: Elite Sanda Striking, World-Class Wrestling Defense, California Pace.
ENTRAM GYM / MEXICO
Tijuana, Mexico
  • The Arvizu Blueprint: **Raul Arvizu** has Jesus drilling "Level-Change Feints"—specifically using a fake overhand right to trigger Su’s defensive shell, opening the path for a high-intensity double-leg.
  • Border Power: Training alongside **Michael Morales** to acclimate to taller, rangier frames, ensuring Aguilar isn't overwhelmed by Mudaerji’s massive limb length.
  • Submission Flow: 2026 focus on "Guillotine-to-Grounded" transitions, exploiting Su’s wide Sanda stance to secure the neck during any desperate sprawl attempts.
  • CAMP DNA: High-Pressure Grappling, Elite BJJ, Mexican Grit.

šŸ“ˆ SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail betting volume in real-time across major sportsbooks.

TICKETS (Public) 83% ON AGUILAR
17% (MUDAERJI)
MONEY (Sharps) 74% ON MUDAERJI
26% (AGUILAR)
AGENT 22 ALERT: Massive sharp money detected on MUDAERJI. Reverse line movement in effect.

šŸŽÆ VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV expected value derivative markets for this matchup.

Fight Doesn't Go The Distance
Implied Prob: 68%
-150
EDGE: 4.2%
PREMIUM PLAY
MUDAERJI by Submission
Implied Prob: 22%
+282
EDGE: 9.8%
AGUILAR by KO/TKO
Implied Prob: 15%
+384
EDGE: 2.1%

ā±ļø DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing when each fighter hits their absolute peak finishing sequence probability.

AGUILAR
PEAK THREAT
ROUNDS 1-2
Early explosiveness & submission hunting.
ATTRITION
PHASE
ROUND 3
Pace slows, cardio tested.
MUDAERJI
PEAK THREAT
ROUNDS 4-5 / LATE
Volume accumulation & late TKO.

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

SU MUDAERJI

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

The Eagle must use his monumental 8-inch reach advantage to keep Aguilar at bay. His snappier Sanda kicks are the key to victory here.

JESUS AGUILAR

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Jesus needs to get inside the reach. He must force the clinch or the takedown immediately to avoid being picked apart from the outside.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: SU MUDAERJI

Aguilar is dangerous, bringing explosive power and a relentless pace to set up takedowns. However, Mudaerji has a massive 72-inch reach and elite distance management. Mudaerji is expected to successfully defend Aguilar's takedown attempts and use his footwork to snipe Aguilar from the outside, utilizing kicks and straight punches to prevent the undersized Aguilar from forcing a brawl.