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UFC VEGAS 114 CO-MAIN STRAWWEIGHT BOUT

AMANDA LEMOS VS GILLIAN ROBERTSON

UFC VEGAS 114 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 14, 2026
SOUTHPAW
Amanda Lemos

AMANDA LEMOS

"AMANDINHA"
RECORD15-5-1
AGE38
HEIGHT163 cm
REACH165 cm
ODDS2.58
FORM
L
W
L
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (8)
SUB (3)
DEC (3)
STRIKING PWR
ELITE
TD DEFENSE
55%
STYLE
POWER COUNTER

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Sean Hall WIN (DEC)
Rank: #7 Level: Veteran
vs. Alex Hernandez WIN (DEC)
Rank: Unranked Level: Gatekeeper
vs. Alex Edwards LOSS (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: Journeyman
VS
ORTHODOX
Gillian Robertson

GILLIAN ROBERTSON

"THE SAVAGE"
RECORD16-8-0
AGE30
HEIGHT165 cm
REACH160 cm
ODDS1.49
FORM
W
W
W
W
L
Victory Breakdown
KO (2)
SUB (12)
DEC (1)
GRAPPLING
UFC RECORD SUBMISSIONS
TD ACCURACY
42%
STYLE
SUBMISSION SPECIALIST

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Tom Davis LOSS (DEC)
Rank: #9 Level: Elite Striker
vs. Robert Robinson LOSS (DEC)
Rank: #14 Level: Veteran
vs. Petr Jones LOSS (KO)
Rank: #15 Level: Title Contender

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

A.I. Generated Attribute Comparison

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail betting volume in real-time across major sportsbooks.

TICKETS (Public) 78% ON ROBERTSON
22% (LEMOS)
MONEY (Sharps) 68% ON ROBERTSON
32% (LEMOS)
AGENT 22 ALERT: Market is unified on the favorite. ROBERTSON'S grappling dominance in the small cage is driving all metrics.

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV expected value derivative markets for this matchup.

Fight Doesn't Go To Decision
Implied Prob: 68%
-148
EDGE: 4.8%
PREMIUM PLAY
Robertson by Submission
Implied Prob: 55%
-110
EDGE: 9.3%
Lemos by KO/TKO
Implied Prob: 25%
+300
EDGE: 2.5%

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing when each fighter hits their absolute peak finishing sequence probability.

LEMOS
EXPLOSIVE WINDOW
ROUND 1
Lemos is most dangerous when fresh with full timing.
ROBERTSON
PEAK GRAPPLING
ROUND 2
Robertson usually secures the neck after initial sweat.
EXHAUSTION
ZONE
ROUND 3
Pace slows, favoring the younger fighter.

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Submission Rate
ROBERTSON 2.1 / 15 MIN
Advantage: ROBERTSON (UFC Record)
Takedown Defense
LEMOS 55%
Critical vulnerability vs Robertson.
Age Curve
38 vs 30
Robertson is in her physical prime.
Control Bias
ROBERTSON GROUND
Gillian's top control is elite.

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

MARAJO BROTHERS / BRAZIL
Para, Brazil
  • The Power Lab: Lemos has been working on her short-range explosiveness to counter grappling entries.
  • Anti-Wrestling Focus: Intensive sprawl-and-brawl sessions to keep the fight standing.
  • CAMP DNA: Brutal Power, Brazilian Grit, Counter-Striking.
AMERICAN TOP TEAM / FLORIDA
Coconut Creek, FL
  • The Savage System: Working with elite coaches like Mike Brown to refine her technical entries.
  • Positional Dominance: Drilling transitions to ensure she doesn't just reach the ground, but stays in dominant positions.
  • CAMP DNA: World-Class Grappling, Tactical Discipline, Relentless Takedowns.

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

AMANDA LEMOS

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Lemos must punish Robertson's takedown attempts with heavy counter-shots. She cannot allow Gillian to close the distance without paying a price in blood. The first 5 minutes are her best chance to finish.

GILLIAN ROBERTSON

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Robertson needs to be deceptive with her entries. Using low kicks and level changes to mask the shot. Once on the ground, she shouldn't rush the finish but rather use ground and pound to open up the neck.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: GILLIAN ROBERTSON

This is a nightmare matchup for Amanda Lemos. While she has the power to end anyone in the division, her 55% takedown defense is a glaring hole against a specialist like Gillian Robertson. Robertson is in the best form of her career and has the technical grappling to navigate Lemos' power. Expect Robertson to secure a takedown in the second round and find the submission shortly after.