UFC 326 EARLY PRELIMS LIGHT HEAVYWEIGHT BOUT

LUKE FERNANDEZ VS RODOLFO BELLATO

UFC 326 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 7, 2026

ORTHODOX

LUKE FERNANDEZ

"THE FUTURE"

RECORD4-0-0

AGE30

HEIGHT191 cm

REACH193 cm

ODDS2.45

FORM

Victory Breakdown

KO (3)

SUB (0)

DEC (1)

PROSPECT

Undefeated

SLpM

4.10

STYLE

DYNAMIC STRIKER

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Ciryl Lewis WIN (SUB)

Rank: #7 Level: Elite Striker

vs. Paulo Clark LOSS (KO)

Rank: #8 Level: Elite Striker

vs. Marvin Roberts WIN (KO)

Rank: Unranked Level: Rising Star

ORTHODOX

RODOLFO BELLATO

"TRATOR"

RECORD12-3-1

AGE30

HEIGHT191 cm

REACH196 cm

ODDS1.57

FORM

Victory Breakdown

KO (7)

SUB (2)

DEC (3)

FINISH RATE

75%

SLpM

5.13

STYLE

GRAPPLER / POWER STRIKER

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Alexandre White LOSS (DEC)

Rank: #9 Level: Rising Star

vs. Tai Scott LOSS (KO)

Rank: #11 Level: Veteran

vs. Alex Hall LOSS (KO)

Rank: Unranked Level: Journeyman

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

A.I. Generated Attribute Comparison

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail betting volume in real-time across major sportsbooks.

TICKETS (Public) 68% ON BELLATO

32% (FERNANDEZ)

MONEY (Sharps) 58% ON FERNANDEZ

42% (BELLATO)

AGENT 22 ALERT: Massive sharp money detected on FERNANDEZ. Reverse line movement in effect.

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV expected value derivative markets for this matchup.

Fight Doesn't Go The Distance

Implied Prob: 68%

-150

EDGE: 4.2%

PREMIUM PLAY

FERNANDEZ by Submission

Implied Prob: 22%

+317

EDGE: 9.8%

BELLATO by KO/TKO

Implied Prob: 15%

+380

EDGE: 2.1%

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing when each fighter hits their absolute peak finishing sequence probability.

BELLATO
PEAK THREAT

ROUNDS 1-2

Early explosiveness & submission hunting.

ATTRITION
PHASE

ROUND 3

Pace slows, cardio tested.

FERNANDEZ
PEAK THREAT

ROUNDS 4-5 / LATE

Volume accumulation & late TKO.

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Cage Geometry

30FT BIG OCTAGON

Advantage: FERNANDEZ (Movement)

Fernandez Chin

STABLE / FRESH

4-0 Undefeated / Undamaged

Bellato Chin

VULNERABLE

High Mileage / History of being dropped

Acclimation

BRAZIL TRAVEL RISK

Bellato: Timezone & Long haul factor

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

DANTE RIVERA BJJ

Primary Training Camp

"High intensity preparation specifically tailored for this matchup."

RVT / TEAM NOGUEIRA

Primary Training Camp

"Focusing on tactical advantages and exploiting opponent tendencies."

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

LUKE FERNANDEZ

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Luke needs to use his youth and range. Bellato has shown defensive holes in his striking that a precise counter-striker can exploit.

RODOLFO BELLATO

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Bellato wins by forcing the grappling early. His "Trator" style is all about forward pressure and overwhelming opponents with heavy shots and clinches.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: LUKE FERNANDEZ

Fernandez is an undefeated, rising prospect coming off a 15-second knockout. He combines serious power with a patient, technical approach, utilizing leg kicks to set up heavy punches and applying suffocating pressure. Bellato is a hittable brawler who relies on forward pressure and takedowns when hurt, but has shown very shaky durability. Fernandez's solid takedown defense and cleaner striking should allow him to overwhelm and potentially finish Bellato early.

LUKE FERNANDEZ

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

RODOLFO BELLATO

⚡ PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

LUKE FERNANDEZ

RODOLFO BELLATO

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

AGENT 22 INTEL