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UFC VEGAS 114 MAIN EVENT FEATHERWEIGHT BOUT

JOSH EMMETT VS KEVIN VALLEJOS

UFC VEGAS 114 • LAS VEGAS, NV • MARCH 14, 2026
ORTHODOX
Josh Emmett

JOSH EMMETT

"THE CC"
RECORD19-6-0
AGE40
HEIGHT168 cm
REACH178 cm
ODDS4.75
FORM
W
L
L
W
W
Victory Breakdown
KO (10)
SUB (2)
DEC (7)
KO POWER
HISTORIC NUKE
TD DEFENSE
58%
STYLE
POWER SLUGGER

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Khabib Walker WIN (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: High-Level Wrestler
vs. Derrick Clark LOSS (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: Gatekeeper
vs. Josh Miller WIN (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: Title Contender
VS
ORTHODOX
Kevin Vallejos

KEVIN VALLEJOS

"EL CHINO"
RECORD16-1-0
AGE24
HEIGHT170 cm
REACH172 cm
ODDS1.20
FORM
W
W
W
W
W
KO (13)
SUB (0)
DEC (4)
SLpM
6.48
ACCURACY
52%
STYLE
TECHNICAL SNIPER

PREVIOUS FIGHT RECORDS

vs. Jared Young WIN (KO)
Rank: Unranked Level: BJJ Specialist
vs. Alex Lopez WIN (KO)
Rank: #14 Level: Elite Striker
vs. Israel Williams WIN (KO)
Rank: #1 Level: Rising Star

AGENT 22: TACTICAL SPIDER MATRIX

A.I. Generated Attribute Comparison

📈 SHARP vs. PUBLIC SPLIT

Tracking syndicate money vs. retail betting volume in real-time across major sportsbooks.

TICKETS (Public) 82% ON VALLEJOS
18% (EMMETT)
MONEY (Sharps) 45% ON EMMETT
55% (VALLEJOS)
AGENT 22 ALERT: Massive Sharp/Public divide. The line is inflated by retail hype on the prospect. Professional money is sniffing EMMETT'S NUKE VALUE.

🎯 VALUE PROP SCANNER

Agent 22's highest +EV expected value derivative markets for this matchup.

Fight Under 2.5 Rounds
Implied Prob: 65%
-140
EDGE: 12.2%
LUCID VALUE
Emmett by KO (Round 1/2)
Implied Prob: 15%
+650
EDGE: 18.5%
Vallejos by Decision
Implied Prob: 40%
+150
EDGE: -2.1%

⏱️ DANGER ZONE TIMELINE

Predictive model detailing when each fighter hits their absolute peak finishing sequence probability.

EMMETT
NUKE THREAT
ROUNDS 1-2
Peak power delivery window. One shot ends it.
VALLEJOS
VOLUME PEAK
ROUNDS 3-4
Prospect looks to drown the veteran in output.
CHIN
DURABILITY TEST
ROUND 5
If it goes here, technical edge favors Vallejos.

PRO INTEL: ADVANCED METRICS

Knockdown Ratio
EMMETT 1.2 / 15 MIN
Advantage: EMMETT (Elite Power)
Fighter Age Curve
VETERAN VS PROSPECT
40 vs 24 (The 'Valley of Death')
Output Differential
VALLEJOS +1.7
Vallejos fires significantly more.
Octagon Tension
HIGH (Main Event)
Emmett: 200+ rds / Vallejos: 35 rds

CAMP WARFARE INTEL

TEAM ALPHA MALE / CALIFORNIA
Sacramento, CA
  • The Last War Path: Urijah Faber and the team are treating this as Emmett's definitive run toward the belt. The camp focus is "One and Done" execution.
  • Anti-Pressure Drills: Working with younger, faster bantamweights to simulate Vallejos' speed and high-volume entries.
  • CAMP DNA: Explosive Wrestling, Nuclear Overhands, Gritty Sactown Durability.
VALLEJOS ACADEMY / BUENOS AIRES
Argentina
  • The Technical Rise: Vallejos is the crown jewel of Argentinian MMA. Camp focus is "Don't get hit by the bomb" while chipping away.
  • Distance Control: Strategic drilling on footwork and lateral movement to stay out of the center-line against Emmett's loaded left hand.
  • CAMP DNA: Precision Boxing, Tactical Pacing, Next-Gen Confidence.

TECHNICAL WAR ROOM

JOSH EMMETT

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Emmett cannot afford to fall behind on points. He must create chaos early and force Vallejos into a brawl where his superior power can end the night instantly. The right hand is the equalizer.

KEVIN VALLEJOS

TACTICAL BREAKDOWN

Vallejos wins by playing it safe and technically sound for 25 minutes. He must use his reach (73") and technical boxing to frustrate the veteran and wait for Emmett to tire in the later rounds.

EXPERT BREAKDOWN & PREDICTION

PREDICTED WINNER: JOSH EMMETT

The betting market has gone insane with a -525 line on the prospect. While Kevin Vallejos is the future, Josh Emmett is still the most dangerous man in the division for the first 10 minutes. Emmett's experience in high-stakes main events and his ability to land one clean shot against a younger, perhaps overconfident opponent makes him the ultimate "Live Dog". We are calling the upset: Emmett by KO in Round 1 or 2.